Potential problems in Iran's nuclear program?
The Iranians can still enrich to any level they want, but if a certain level of impurities remains in the product, that makes the process more laborious. The product would have to be hauled back to the UCF [Uranium Conversion Facility] for further purification after partial enrichment, then returned for further enrichment, and so on. That really does put a kink in rapid breakout scenarios. On the other hand, compared to the technical hurdles that the Iranians have already overcome, perfecting purification at the UCF doesn’t seem like a great challenge, and we should expect the AEOI [Atomic Energy Organization of Iran] to solve that one sooner or later, if they haven’t already.
And the fuel being sent abroad? In another article at ArmsControlWonk, there is tangential speculation that the tainted uranium is a cover; It may be the Iranians need help purifying their fuel. It may also be that Iran may simply not want to appear capable of further enriching its uranium. So, the seemingly positive reports may not be so positive. On the heels of this, HaAretz reported on "a highly secret video, produced by Iranian nuclear scientists... a three-minute film depicting a computerized simulation of the detonation of a warhead, most likely a nuclear one." The video was shown last year at the International Atomic Energy Agency headquarters in Vienna.[It] depicted a room made of stone. At the center stood a Perspex mock-up - equipped with a flashing red light - of a ball-shaped bomb resting in the metallic, gold-plated cone of a missile warhead. In the most important scene in the film, the computer simulation shows the launched warhead reentering the atmosphere and exploding 600 meters above the earth's surface. According to experts, this is the ideal altitude for detonating a nuclear bomb in order to generate the maximum degree of destruction on the ground.
A peaceful resolution to the conflict with the Iranian government remains elusive. As HaAretz continues:Iran continues to enrich uranium while claiming that it has no military nuclear program. Russia and China insist on opposing harsh sanctions on Iran. Israeli spokespersons have hinted at, or even threatened, a military operation against Iran, but they prefer it be carried out by the United States. The United States and the European Union oppose the use of force and find themselves isolated in their attempts to deal with Tehran's nuclear challenge.
Given the challenges, its critical Americans continue to press their media and their representatives on this issue, to keep it at their forefront, in the pursuit of a solution.
Comments
Given our current leadership, it is unlikely in the extreme that the US or EU or any other country or entity will attack Iran, with the possible exception of Israel.
Israel certainly does not wish to go to war again with Iran, Syria and Hizbullah, Hamas and the other loonies from the Gaza Strip, but what choice does she have? If Israel waits for the West and the rest of the world to eliminate the threat Iran poses to the entire world, Israel will be the first to go. They are the canary in the coal mine, but this canary is not suicidal.
War will be the last resort, but if it does come to war, I doubt very seriously that it will be conventional. Israel simply cannot fight on so many fronts with Iran involved. I think the best thing for Israel to do is wait until the yakking in DC stops in December, and the next threat out of Ahmadinejad after that should be the trigger to attack the atomic facilities with nukes, and Tehran by brute air power so that the Supreme Leader is turned to dust along with Ahmadinejad.
The only thing any Arab country understands is overwhelming force. If Russia tries to stop Israel and defends Iran, Israel should attack Moscow as the US attacked Hiroshima and Nagasaki. When your life, the life of your families, your country are at stake, there is not much choice but to fight back with all you have. Half steps and dialogue are what allowed Iran to get this far. It should never have happened.
Until the West gets over it's political correctness in terms of recognizing Islam for what it really is, Islam will continue to get stronger and more embedded in our society and the faster they will realize their terrible goal of domination of the world and forced conversion to Islam, taking all of us back to the middle ages.